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Title | Hydro-economic modeling of climate change impacts in Ethiopia |
Author |
You, Gene Jiing-Yun Ringler, Claudia |
ORCID | http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8266-0488 Ringler, Claudia |
Year | 2010 |
Abstract | Ethiopia is susceptible to frequent climate extremes such as disastrous droughts and floods. These disastrous climatic events, which have caused significant adverse effects on the country's economy and society, are expected to become more pronounced in the future under climate change. To identify the potential threat of climate change to the Ethiopian economy, this study analyzes three major factors that are changing under global warming: water availability under higher temperatures and changing precipitation patterns, the impact of changing precipitation patterns on flooding, and the potential impact on crop production of the carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization effect. These issues are analyzed based on an existing multi-market-sector model for the Ethiopian economy, with a focus on agriculture. Our analysis finds that the major impact of climate change on Ethiopia's economy will result from more frequent occurrence of extreme hydrologic events, which cause losses in both the agricultural and nonagricultural sectors. To adapt to these long-term changes, Ethiopia should invest in enhanced water control to expand irrigation and improve flood protection. |
Series Name | IFPRI Discussion Paper |
Series Number | 960 |
Publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) |
Place of publication | Washington, D.C. |
Language | English |
Record Type | Discussion paper |
Peer Reviewed - PR or Non-PR | Non-PR |
Subject - country location |
ETHIOPIA EAST AFRICA AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA |
Subject - keywords |
climate change hydro-economic modeling drought floods Global warming carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization effect hydrologic events |
IFPRI Descriptors |
IFPRI1 GRP22 |
IFPRI Division | EPTD |
Access Rights | Open Access |
Display Notes | Effective January 2007, the Discussion Paper series within each division and the Director General's Office of IFPRI were merged into one IFPRI-wide Discussion Paper series. The new series begins with number 00689, reflecting the prior publication of 688 discussion papers within the dispersed series. The earlier series are available on IFPRI's website at http://www.ifpri.org/publications/results/taxonomy%3A468. IFPRI Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have been peer reviewed, but have not been subject to a formal external review via IFPRI's Publications Review Committee. They are circulated in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment; any opinions expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the policies or opinions of IFPRI. |
LOC call number | IFPRIDP00960 |
Physical description | 26 pages |
Times cited-- Google Scholar | http://scholar.google.com/scholar?cites=14060389829295386104&as_sdt=20005&sciodt=0,9&hl=en |
RePEc Downloads | https://ideas.repec.org/p/fpr/ifprid/960.html |
Requests | mailto:ifpri-library@cgiar.org |
CONTENTdm file name | 869.cpd |
Date cataloged | 2017-08-08 |
Date modified | 2017-08-08 |
OCLC number | 861347700 |
CONTENTdm number | 868 |
Description
Title | ifpridp00960 2 |
Access Rights | Open Access |
CONTENTdm file name | 834.pdfpage |
Date cataloged | 2017-08-08 |
Date modified | 2017-08-08 |
CONTENTdm number | 833 |
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