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Object Description
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Title | Droughts and floods in Malawi |
Subtitle | Assessing the economywide effects |
Author |
Pauw, Karl Thurlow, James van Seventer, Dirk |
ORCID | http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5104-173X Pauw, Karl; http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3414-374X Thurlow, James |
Year | 2010 |
Abstract | Malawi suffers frequent droughts and floods. In an economy that is heavily dependent on the agricultural sector, it is crucial to understand the implications of these extreme climate events. Not only are rural livelihoods affected due to the severe impacts on the agricultural sector, but nonfarm and urban households are also vulnerable given the strong production and price linkages between agriculture and the rest of the economy. This study uses a general equilibrium model to estimate the economywide impacts of drought- and flood-related crop production losses. Climate simulations are based on production loss estimates from stochastic drought and flood models. Model results show that the economic losses due to extreme climate events are significant: Malawi loses 1.7 percent of its gross domestic product on average every year due to the combined effects of droughts and floods. This is equivalent to almost US$22 million in 2005 prices. Given their crop choices, it is smaller-scale farmers and those in the flood-prone southern regions of the country who are worst affected. However, urban and nonfarm households are not spared. Food shortages lead to sharp price increases that reduce urban households' disposable incomes. This study makes an important contribution by estimating the economywide impacts of extreme climate events. However, this is only the first step toward designing appropriate agricultural and development strategies that explicitly account for climate uncertainty. |
Series Name | IFPRI Discussion Paper |
Series Number | 962 |
Publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) |
Place of publication | Washington, D.C. |
Language | English |
Record Type | Discussion paper |
Peer Reviewed - PR or Non-PR | Non-PR |
Subject - country location |
MALAWI AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA AFRICA |
Subject - keywords |
drought floods CGE modeling Poverty agricultural sector Livelihoods households Gross Domestic Product (GDP) |
IFPRI Descriptors |
IFPRI1 GRP32 |
IFPRI Division | DSGD |
Access Rights | Open Access |
Display Notes | Effective January 2007, the Discussion Paper series within each division and the Director General's Office of IFPRI were merged into one IFPRI-wide Discussion Paper series. The new series begins with number 00689, reflecting the prior publication of 688 discussion papers within the dispersed series. The earlier series are available on IFPRI's website at http://www.ifpri.org/publications/results/taxonomy%3A468. IFPRI Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have been peer reviewed, but have not been subject to a formal external review via IFPRI's Publications Review Committee. They are circulated in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment; any opinions expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the policies or opinions of IFPRI. |
LOC call number | IFPRIDP00962 |
Physical description | 34 pages |
IFPRI Web link | http://www.ifpri.org/publication/droughts-and-floods-malawi |
Times cited-- Google Scholar | http://scholar.google.com/scholar?cites=5382546430360810315&as_sdt=20005&sciodt=0,9&hl=en |
RePEc Downloads | https://ideas.repec.org/p/fpr/ifprid/962.html |
Requests | mailto:ifpri-library@cgiar.org |
CONTENTdm file name | 1371.cpd |
Date cataloged | 2017-08-12 |
Date modified | 2017-08-12 |
OCLC number | 778452756 |
CONTENTdm number | 1370 |
Description
Title | ifpridp00962 5 |
Access Rights | Open Access |
CONTENTdm file name | 1331.pdfpage |
Date cataloged | 2017-08-12 |
Date modified | 2017-08-12 |
CONTENTdm number | 1330 |
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